Talk:Vermouth

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Revision as of 02:06, 17 June 2011 by Chekhov MacGuffin (talk | contribs) (Rewrite: ref fix)

Page Name

I think this page should be redirected to Vermouth. Sharon Vineyard may not be Vermouth's first disguise and thus not her true name. Sharon Vineyard had a mother who died in a fire on the day of her debut. Vermouth is more general and thus less likely to need changing later. Chekhov MacGuffin talk 23:37, 15 January 2011 (UTC)

Plot overview

If anyone want to help with the plot overview for Vermouth, please help format it by case, elaborate, and make it grammatical here: User:Chekhov MacGuffin#Vermouth timeline for Plot Overview. Chekhov MacGuffin talk 01:05, 16 January 2011 (UTC)

The timeline part of the plot overview could probably do with being made into a separate article since it is well beyond critical mass. Chekhov MacGuffin talk 21:10, 21 January 2011 (UTC)

Suicidal Vermouth

Transcribing this here from a talk page because it concerns the article.


About Vermouth's suicidal things, I put the citation needed there as a request for quotes or actions of hers that indicated suicidal intent. I was hoping you could find some for the references. In the mean time, I put it back with an invisible note pending quotes/examples in the reference. The reason I am bothering is I can think of a few lines of hers that are depressing, like "My life has represents a series of misfortunes" and "no angel has ever smiled upon me", but I cannot think of any that indicate desire for self harm, so I am questioning validity of the statement that she has shown suicidal intent. Depressing for sure though. Chekhov MacGuffin talk 04:58, 17 May 2011 (UTC)

The inclination is "almost suicidal," as in these lines themselves are a matter of perspective; they can be read that way, but they can also be read as something different. Which way is a matter of perspective and, given the more depressing thoughts, there's plenty of merit to the idea of suicidal as is the idea of a different freedom. That's why I left it listed as "almost suicidal" as opposed to outright "suicidal" and removed the sitation; I can quote a thousand different depressing lines from Vermouth and the perspective of suicidal can be argued in almost all of them. The validity would vary, but the possibility is real, be it in Vermouth or anyone in such a state. Example, I can argue Vermouth cheering on Conan's attempt to take down the Organization as suicidal; treason is punished with murder in the Organization. However, that can just as easily be read as a desire for freedom. The bigger inclination is she always kills her characters off. Sharon Vineyard I can understand, since she was popular enough to require such a problem, but even the serial killer to draw out and kill Shuichi. People disappear, some of whom want to disappear, it's sad but true (and for in canon examples we have Numabuchi and the number of almost suicides disguised as murders). And running with the assumption concerning her, apparently, nobody parents, that would be three deaths that really didn't have to happen (although they also pivot on the idea they were all simply characters and not people like the Araides). It's cleaner for her past with murder, but not necessary. Further, deaths leave evidence no matter what you do, some disappearences don't; it's seems smarter and more Organization like to not kill a fictional character under such free circumstances. While this is all speculation, this is reason to believe Vermouth has a fascination with killing her characters, killing pieces of herself. If you can submit this in some cleaner way, or would rather argue it, I welcome you to it either way. Yes, this isn't really quotes as opposed to actions, but I couldn't think of a clean and simple way to rewrite the article with this in mind. User:Wildcardmma
If you are acknowledging that her lines aren't suicidal, but instead the suicidal-ness is matter of opinion, then simply depressing by itself is enough. The same point gets made but leaves matters of interpretation out. Also, I undid some of the changes. Specifically, the one year ago is important because that is the transition from Sharon Vineyard to Chris Vineyard and thus the time frame that Vermouth would have taken APTX if she did so. Also, it is expressly clear the rest of the Black Organization doesn't know about the shrinking effects of APTX and I added a note with the explanation in the article.
Finally, the point of the following line isn't clear. "Also, taking into account her disguising abilities and the overall uncertainty concerning when she ceased to age, it may not even need to be such a fluke that she regained her youth with it." It sounds like you are saying that because she can disguise her age, she actually de-aged or stopped aging. Chekhov MacGuffin talk 19:58, 17 May 2011 (UTC)
"Depressing" alone doesn't grant a look into her well enough; there are varying degrees of depression. "Almost suicidal" gives that perspective. The "suicidal" demonstrates the depth of the depression, while the "almost" leaves it to be made as a perspective; the whole thing is meant to read that Vermouth has said severely depressing things, things that people initiate a suicide watch for, as opposed to mildly depressing, the kind most people ignore unless someone gets dramatic. You can't accomplish such a feat with only "depressing." Even "severely depressing" doesn't cut it, since some people see depressing as black and white; it is or it isn't. There needs to be something more to grant better definition. If you have something better, then by all means post it, or take down the citation.
Further, the one year transition is irrelevant because of my last point. The last sentence was meant to illuminate the fact that we can't actually determine when exactly she regained her youth. Her disguising talents allow her to fake such a feat, so a time limit stating when she began to look young without a disguise grants a narrowed perspective that may ultimately be wrong. The whole paragraph was about APTX 4869, I thought it was logical that "it" was referring to the drug; edit that if you want, but honestly I think it's fine as is. You can add that Chris Vineyard appeared one year ago, but you can't actually say with any certainty that's when she regained her youth for real. Posting as such is posting your interpretation of the facts.
Finally, Haibara had said that one rat shrank and that she didn't report it to the Boss. However, her father also happened to be working on such a drug, Pisco's words. She said she wouldn't continue her father's work, but we know neither when she said that nor if the Organization tricked her into continuing. This is what's called an open experiment; instead of having subjects who are kept in certain conditions, they experiment with things off the street, the varying conditions of such subjects allow them to establish things that can interact with the drug and alter its destined effect. Drug companies do this, though usually when there's more certainty that they're not lethal, and people make a killing off them. Shinichi was clearly a test of the drug, both Gin's words and Haibara's presence in his house prove this. Exactly what they were testing is unknown, since we haven't heard from the Boss on this matter. While the Organization doesn't reportedly know there was a success with Haibara t the helm, this is nothing to say that they weren't testing for such a feat, and it also doesn't mean that the drug suddenly stopped being worked on. Yes, Haibara was important to the research, but losing the important scientist has never stopped scientists and companies from continuing before. Once you again, to allow such a comment to remain up is argumentative and a matter of perspective. Which is it: are you not allowing any perspectives and just the facts, or are you allowing these and their counters up? You can't keep only one interpretation up and then take down any that disagree with it just because we don't have the time to word it perfectly and you lack either the time or patience to research, change your perspective to see if it fits, and edit it to make more sense yourself. I don't have the time to carefully word my sentences, so I need someone to edit me. I thank you for these posts since they're letting me help you edit these, but don't be hypocritical.
You make a good point on when Vermouth would have taken the drug. My reason for specifically specifying one year ago, the transition between Sharon and Chris, is because it is the time window most people have speculated she took APTX 4869 (if in fact she did). I think leaving out the one year ago is fine as well.
Your claim that several of Vermouth's quotes show a suicidal nature is entirely your opinion, and really should not be included in the article unless you provide a reference for it. That she has said depressing things is undebatable, but trying to say those things indicate suicidal tendencies has moved too far into the realm of personal interpretation. Vermouth hasn't shown any suicidal aspiration, she willingly helped rescue herself in the New York case when she could have not grabbed the railing and allowed herself to fall. She has rescued herself from other situations where her safety was in jeopardy (shipping yards in Vermouth arc showdown). Not all depressed people are suicidal. If she is suicidal, then please provide clear evidence from the manga indicating that she would like to end her life.
What I said previously about leaving it out is that you can make the same point without saying anything that is a matter of opinion, "However, given that Vermouth has said depressing things over the course of the series, both as a role she plays and as herself, it is possible she took the drug hoping to die, but was made younger like Haibara".
Regarding the last bit about the drug, while the intended purpose is unknown (see APTX 4869 and the discussion about intended purpose), the Organization is currently using employing the incomplete version only as a poison. They are not trying to experiment on people on the street to shrink them (or whatever APTX is intended to do), they are trying to kill them with it. The Org took great pains to ensure the people it was used on were dead, evidenced when they sent Shiho out to investigate Shinichi's case twice to confirm his death. (V18-9 pg 6) If Gin knew it failed to work some of the time, he would have never left Shinichi alone while it acted, and would have gone looking for him after his body disappeared if that was the case. Also, the boss, who has been stated to be cautious to a fault, would, if he knew about the risk, not let his subordinates use APTX 4869 without letting them know there was a chance it would leave people alive because if someone escaped, they could talk to the police or someone else and leak the secret of the Black Organization's existance. Here are multiple manga references indicating that APTX is currently exclusively being used as a poison.
  • "We'll use this, the new poison the Organization developed. You can't find any signs of poison on the body with this stuff..." (V1-1 pg 37)
  • "If I reported your condition to the Organization, it's very likely you would have been terminated before I could do something useful." Haibara, explaining that Kudo would have been killed by the Organization anyway even though he was an "interesting specimen." If the Org was field testing, they would try to capture Kudo alive. Shiho was still project manager when use on humans began, so she would know what the Org's reaction towards people who didn't die would be. (V18-9 pg 7)
  • "I thought that since I was going to get killed anyways, I would take the APTX 4869 which I secretly held. To my luck, the drug that I took thinking it would kill me shrunk by body..." - Haibara telling Conan she planed to commit suicide with APTX thinking it would kill her .(V18-9 pg 8)
  • "How could I understand a person who created a poison to kill people?!..."It can't be helped. It is not like it was my intention in the first place to create a poison." The conversation here pretty unambiguously relays that the current state of APTX 4869 is a murder weapon. (V18-9 pg 9)
  • "Anyway, our superior has ordered us to kill him before he rats us out. Don't screw up, Pisco! If there is any complication, you can use the 'experimental drug' [APTX 4869]" - Gin telling Pisco he has the go ahead to use the drug for an assassination - a situation where it would be unacceptable if the drug failed to be lethal because the boss ordered him killed. (V24-7 pg 17)
All the points I have made so far I can and have backed with references and solid logical arguments. I have no problem with including the alternate theory that Vermouth may have taken APTX 4869 to kill herself and wound up getting younger because it is reasonably plausible (although I disagree with it). That said, it needs to be held to the same standard as the other theory; there needs to be a reference for unambiguously suicidal things Vermouth has said. The problem could also be solved if the sentence was stated the following way, leaving out the suicidal bit: "However, given that Vermouth has said depressing things over the course of the series, both as a role she plays and as herself, it is possible she took the drug hoping to die, but was made younger like Haibara".
Also, please rephrase that final sentence. (Also, taking into account her disguising abilities and the overall uncertainty concerning when she ceased to age, it may not even need to be such a fluke that she regained her youth with it.) It is grammatically awkward, and it isn't clear what meaning is. Chekhov MacGuffin talk 04:37, 18 May 2011 (UTC)

APTX's status as a lethal poison and how much Vermouth knows

I rewrote the first section slightly. Much of it is the same, but here are the changes I made

  1. I put additional emphasis on clarifying on when Vermouth found out APTX is not always lethal to acknowledge to possibility she could have taken the drug after she found out about Haibara and Conan. It is worthwhile to note though that Jodie, knowing about Vermouth's ability to disguise, still asked her why she doesn't age (before Shuu reveals it's her natural face). Basically, Jodie has reason to think Vermouth's aging is weird even knowing she can disguise it.
  2. In the reference for knowing about the lethal effects, I removed "However, our information on the drug is limited until the end Haibara's involvement with the Organization." This is not true, information about the protocols for use of APTX were revealed during the Pisco assassination when Gin gave the okay for use in a time critical assassination where failure could not be tolerated. While Shiho can not know if any changes were made to APTX 4869 which affected it's action after she left, that isn't relevant to the point; the time frame we care about is before Shiho left - when Vermouth would have taken APTX (assuming she did)
  3. I emphasized that APTX is being used as a murder weapon. Because this was a point of contention before with user Wildcardmma, I backed it up a metric ton of manga references and explanation. Keeping that in mind, it would only be proper to dispute it with similarly strong manga references and explanation. e.g. don't delete unless you provide sources.

Chekhov MacGuffin talk 23:21, 19 May 2011 (UTC)

Fair enough, but I stand by what i said for "probably" as well as some of my own words. And as I said in my new section, I need someone to help me out a while my internet is crap. If you're not going to make the changes you requested and I want while I'm not in a position to do so, then just take them down.
Second, I have several complaints with these edits.
"Before Vermouth discovered Haibara and Conan"
If the mystery of what deages her is an unknown, then we shouldn't assume she would assume APTX 4869 made them younger.User talk:113.192.1.99 06:20, 21 May 2011
Yes she would assume APTX probably had something to do with it, but that isn't relevant. Chekhov MacGuffin talk 00:11, 23 May 2011 (UTC)
"I removed 'However, our information on the drug is limited until the end Haibara's involvement with the Organization.' This is not true, information about the protocols for use of APTX were revealed during the Pisco assassination when Gin gave the okay for use in a time critical assassination where failure could not be tolerated. While Shiho can not know if any changes were made to APTX 4869 which affected it's action after she left, that isn't relevant to the point; the time frame we care about is before Shiho left - when Vermouth would have taken APTX (assuming she did) "
While I can understand why you took this out, the point should still be made. And the point was more about APTX 4869's nonlethal effect; any progress on that effect is limited until Ai's departure. As for Pisco, we know he he got the same kind that made Ai and Conan, but we also have no way of knowing if there were any advancements to the drug and that, if that were the case, he got an old one. User talk:113.192.1.99 06:20, 21 May 2011
Fair enough, but we don;t know if any advancements had been made. Nowhere in the manga has it talked about that. Chekhov MacGuffin talk 00:11, 23 May 2011 (UTC)

Confusing

Quoted section put in spoiler boxes for space saving.

There are a few problems with this section. The first is that it is extremely confusing; it doesn't make clear and concise points.

I flagged the following lines with a citation needed

  • "However, it is more than likely the work of a relatively common substance or a mixture of relatively common substances." No one has mentioned how complicated the formula is. Additionally as a counter-proof, Ai has mentioned some, not all of the ingredients that are in APTX: telomerase, a component which "increases the reproductive potential of cells", and a component that induces apoptosis. (V24-10 pg 6) Although these are not the only components, these alone are far simple. The majority of enzymes are not easy to make or must be acquired at high cost. Enzymes made in house involve genetically manipulating some organism to express the protein of interest at very high levels, and purifying it in a manner so the protein remains stable (many proteins degrade easily, enzymes, with a few exceptions, are notorious for this) while keeping the levels of any contaminant proteins or substances used in the purification that could interfere with downstream experiments low. And this is just a single enzyme. Who knows what the other components are?
  • "Also, taking into account her disguising abilities and the overall uncertainty concerning when she ceased to age, it may not even be such a fluke that she regained her youth with APTX 4869.[ref]Even if Haibara was critical to its research, scientists have never been the type to stop just because they lose something, so APTX 4869 may have finally had a reported successful deaging, following some changes to the formula of course.[/ref]" - If my interpretation is correct, you are saying that in Haibara's absence, scientists may have worked on APTX to the point where it de-aged Vermouth; however, you don't offer any proof Organization scientists actually improved APTX in Haibara's absence. My point here is that I could come up with several similarly unsupported possibilities why Vermouth doesn't de-age (like maybe she is an immortal tracing back the original legend of Pandora who opened the box). Without any evidence that APTX 4869 has been improved in the interim, why is this theory any better than the myth example I just gave?
Worse, I can provide a counterexample, if the Organization refined APTX to the point where it worked on Vermouth, or anyone else for that matter, they would know how Shiho escaped the locked room and would start hunting for a child. So far, the Org has shown no suspicion of children. Gin himself discounted the idea when he stopped searching lockers for the person who tried to trap Vodka "Hmph. What am I thinking? An adult could never fit in there."(V38-1 pg 14)

The following line is ignoring major details.

  • "She wouldn't have almost instantly believed Conan Edogawa was Shinichi Kudo and Ai Haibara was Shiho Miyano without some reason to believe so, but Jodie not understanding the connection between Shiho and Haibara indicates Vermouth had no physical evidence beyond their looks supporting such an idea." This is ignoring a huge point, Conan himself states that "If she [Vermouth], knows my mum, then she has probably seen pictures of when I was young in an album or something, and there will be no reason for her not to have seen through me." (42-10 pg 5) Secondly, Sherry was in the Organization since childhood, and they know her childhood face (Pisco case), Vermouth has been in the Organization for at least 20 years when she killed Jodie's father. (chapter 433) Vermouth was an agent when Sherry was a child and would know her face, especially since it is likely Vermouth has a connection with the Miyanos (V42-10 pg 6), and she and Sherry and know each other (Ai specifically reacts to Vermouth very strongly).
For the issue of when Vermouth found out about Haibara and Conan, consider what she said in Gin's car when the Pisco case was over: "I plan to relax in Japan for a while. I have something unsettling on my mind too." (24-11 pg 17) That is pretty decent evidence she saw Conan and Haibara in the party and realized who they were. You can also look at it from another angle. Vermouth targeted Dr. Araide, the Teitan elementary and high nurse, for impersonation so she could get close to Conan and Haibara. She must have found out sometime before impersonating Dr. Araide. So when did she start disguising as Dr. Araide? At the earliest, Ran reported that Araide had already accepted the position of play director at the beginning of "Mistaken Detectives".[5] It is also plausible Vermouth disguised as Araide prior to Desperate Revival. Jodie's reference pictures hidden behind her mirror include a photograph of Dr. Araide taken at the school play indicating that Araide was under investigation then.[6] There are also copies of Vermouth's photographs, meaning Dr. Aradie's office had been raided by the FBI and thus Vermouth was in disguise at the time. The mixed layering of the photos suggests they were acquired at around the same time. At the very latest, Vermouth was already in disguise when Jodie's introduction occured because Jodie had already raided Araide's office and seen the pictures tacked to Vermouth's dartboard.[7]

This is incorrect

  • [ref]Chapter 423, Agasa mentioned learning about the Organization through Prof. Miyano's old house and friend as well as learning of Haibara's parents...[/ref] Agasa never learned about the Organization beforehand, he only learned after following Shinichi's investigation. He met Atushi and Elena Miyano at a science conference long before he met Shiho (V39-6 pg 6), but Agasa didn't know the Miyanos had children until he took in Shiho. Agasa asked a professor friend who also knew the Miyanos about them, and the professor friend had a friend, Souhei Dejima, who was a childhood friend of the Miyanos. (V44-10 pg 8),

Finally, just in case you did not know this, the way wikis work is "anything that requires but lacks a source may be removed" (from Wikipedia's policy page). While I don't intend to remove anything that is needing citations because you and any other editors stopping by would like time to look for sources, please understand that it is your responsibility, not mine, to come up with adequate sources, or someone else could come along later and delete your lines. Chekhov MacGuffin talk 01:23, 20 May 2011 (UTC)

Your problems with "However, it is more than likely the work of a relatively common substance or a mixture of relatively common substances."
As I stated elsewhere, Vermouth believes such an outcome is possible. She wouldn't have the idea Conan and Ai were shrunken unless she had reason to believe this was something others could do. The key point was making that it's a substance, not something biological and exclusive to Vermouth. Also, since we still don't know if APTX 4869 is what's making her young, it can be played to the opposite extreme. It doesn't necessarily have to be such a complexed and expensive forumla to make such a result. Therefore, while my wording may have been poor, the point stands. User talk:113.192.1.99 06:20, 21 May 2011
The problem is APTX does contain something biological: enzymes, specifically telomerase. It can be a complex and expensive formula, I even pointed out why: enzymes are complicated to manufacture in lab and expensive to buy unless they are common (telomerase is not). I do agree that the wording is poor, because I still don't understand what point you are trying to make. Chekhov MacGuffin talk 00:27, 23 May 2011 (UTC)
And, as I said and the opening sentence of the speculation page suggests, it doesn't even have to be APTX 4869. It's the only substance we know of it APTX 4869, but that doesn't mean it's the only one possible. And despite me saying out loud, "The key point was making that it's a substance, NOT SOMETHING biological and EXCLUSIVE TO VERMOUTH," you couldn't figure out what this meant? Congratulations, this is now officially a biased website. User:113.192.1.99 04:03, 24 May 2011
I think the problem here is that what you think you said and what I think you said are not matching up. First off, you didn't make it clear you were talking about something other than APTX. In the previous sentence you said "it may not even be such a fluke that she regained her youth with APTX 4869" which makes it sound like you are saying that the theory is about Vermouth taking APTX to regain her youth. It isn't clear that you changed gears to talking about something else here.
I agree that whatever is responsible for Vermouth's aging strangeness may not be APTX. The problem I am still having is that you are still saying it is "NOT SOMETHING biological". When you say "not biological", I read that as containing inorganic compounds only: no enzymes and nothing derived from biological material. There is no reason why whatever Vermouth took couldn't contain biological material. After all, APTX contains enzymes. The other problem is "exclusive to Vermouth" does not have a clear and easy to understand meaning. Does it mean "not containing bits of Vermouth?", "not made specifically for Vermouth", "would work on other people besides Vermouth", or something else? Chekhov MacGuffin talk 02:32, 25 May 2011 (UTC)
Your problems with "Also, taking into account her disguising abilities and the overall uncertainty concerning when she ceased to age, it may not even be such a fluke that she regained her youth with APTX 4869.[ref]Even if Haibara was critical to its research, scientists have never been the type to stop just because they lose something, so APTX 4869 may have finally had a reported successful deaging, following some changes to the formula of course.[/ref]"
This is not an unsupported possibility. As I stated, scientists have never been ones to stop and lose to time, and the same can be said of the Organization as a whole. This is a logical circumstance that has some merit to it, and Aoyama has been doing the same himself with a cure. Despite not having any of her original work, Ai continues to work on an antidote. If she can work on an antidote, they can work on the effect as well. User talk:113.192.1.99 06:20, 21 May 2011
It's plausible the remaining scientists could be working on APTX, but there is a world of difference between working on it and perfecting it. That's where the problem lies; find a manga based source that shows the scientists perfected APTX in Haibara's absence. Chekhov MacGuffin talk 00:22, 23 May 2011 (UTC)
So, you reworded the sentence to say the Organization as a whole knows of such an effect (which has no base real or speculatory), but you're not willing to go with a point of refining in which the Organization and its scientists behave like the Organization and scientists? As you said, if you can't disprove it, it can in a wiki. You can't set double standards to just let the stuff you like fly. User:113.192.1.99 04:03, 24 May 2011
I assume you are responding to the change I described in a different section where I said "the Black Organization only knew about APTX 4869's lethal effects". I see no harm in specifying that only the known members of the Organization think APTX is just a poison, as described in the refs. Maybe Sherry had lab-mates who knew about the one different mouse result, but unfortunately labmates have never been shown in the manga canon. As for your other point, even though we have no manga canon evidence the research is continuing on APTX project, I think it is a believable assumption to make that the Organization would attempt to find a replacement for Sherry and continue working on APTX. I don't have a problem with that. The part where I have taken issue is assuming that these replacements have suddenly perfected or even changed APTX to the point where it has a decent chance of de-aging. It would lead to a contradiction: high level people in the Organization know what APTX can do, but somehow can't figure out how Sherry managed to escape. Even if Vermouth took it in secret, someone is bound to notice Vermouth shaved off 30 or so years all of a sudden. The Org knows Vermouth's true face at the least - Gin would notice, he has had sex with her before. (Conan Drill) Gin was the one who picked her up after the Ghost Ship case when her blood smeared true face was on full display. Gin would know what the cuts meant as Akai Shuuichi did, and I think he would notice that a former lover of his dropped 30 years in the interim. Chekhov MacGuffin talk 02:32, 25 May 2011 (UTC)
The added counter.
Completely illogical. As Ai has said and you have repeatedly proven, the Organization only knew of it as a lethal poison by the time Ai left. Just because they now perfected the forumla doesn't mean old formulas that had no reported successes suddenly work and Sherry could have escaped.User talk:113.192.1.99 06:20, 21 May 2011
You don't have any proof they perfected or even improved the formula at all. That's the problem here. Nowhere in the manga does it discuss this. That's why I flagged it. Also the counter makes perfect sense. If APTX started working and people deaged, then the BO could guess that Sherry smuggled in some of her preparation which deaged her. All the evidence left in the room (handcuffs that are still locked, laundry/trash chute too small for an adult) all fits. Knowing that, they would start looking for a kid. They haven't, so it stands to reason that APTX still doesn't shrink people except very rarely and the scientists still haven't perfected it. There is also the additional evidence of Gin specifically discounting that an enemy of his could be a child in the locker room scene. Chekhov MacGuffin talk 00:20, 23 May 2011 (UTC)
Restrict your counter to the points of the counter. I get it, I can't prove what the Organization is doing, however, that has nothing to do with the counter. As I said, if the Organization has no way of knowing the prior formulas could deage, what reason do they have to believe Sherry could have escaped using it? We the fans will know it's a refining, but the Organization will view it as a reconstruction. Since they were unaware that the prior formula could deage someone, they think the new formula, in whatever way its different, was the magical spark, and they'll work around it. They'll either take out some of Sherry's ingredients or add new ones, and they'll continue believing this was what made Sherry's work explode. When it comes to chemistry, one ingredient can be the difference between success and failure. For examples, cake without eggs or soda without water. If the Organization changed one thing before their first test (which they more than likely would have given the lack of successes), then the secret of her escape is gone. It's simple chemistry. User:113.192.1.99 04:03, 24 May 2011
I did restrict my points to the counter, and yes the Organization does have one potential way of knowing that prior formulas could work, they realize the evidence in Shiho's locked room is consistent with the idea that Shiho suddenly became a lot smaller, aka de-aged. Then the question is how Shiho de-aged, the answer is obvious, APTX or some other weird drug. Considering that Sherry was working on APTX, APTX then becomes the most likely "suspect". The reason why the Org hasn't figured out how Sherry escaped is because the idea of adults turning into children is simply too out there to even be considered a rational theory at this point. Once the Org realizes it can happen, they will logically look back and wonder if this older version of the drug could have also done the same thing, albeit a lot less frequently. Basically, I think your idea the Org will look at some hypothetical working new drug as a "reconstruction" while forgetting all about the old one is a short-sided viewpoint. Chekhov MacGuffin talk 03:27, 25 May 2011 (UTC)
Your problems with "She wouldn't have almost instantly believed Conan Edogawa was Shinichi Kudo and Ai Haibara was Shiho Miyano without some reason to believe so, but Jodie not understanding the connection between Shiho and Haibara indicates Vermouth had no physical evidence beyond their looks supporting such an idea."
First of all, all the points made in response to this have to do with psychological evidence. Physical evidence refers to things like dental records, appearance, DNA, fingerprints, hair, things that go through a forensics lab and put into computers. Conan's words (the one's you quoted) indicate that the only physical evidence was appearance and the rest was psychological. The listed points have nothing to do with physical evidence and actually further the idea there was none beyond appearance for both of them. User talk:113.192.1.99 06:20, 21 May 2011
My point was that Vermouth knew what Conan and Shiho looked like when they were kids. In Conan's case, it was family albums Yukiko shared. In Ai's case, it was the fact the Org knows what she looks like as a kid. You listed "appearance" as physical evidence. That was all Vermouth needed to figure them out, so I really don't see where you are trying to go with this. Chekhov MacGuffin talk 00:20, 23 May 2011 (UTC)
The point I'm making is that's hardly any evidence at all. Conan didn't say, "She'd recognize me," he said, "She'd see through me." They're a world of difference. Recognize means she'd simply see the similarities in appearance (like Ran, Eisuke, and the music teacher did), see through means she knows it's more than simple appearance. Besides that, your point was Vermouth said something was troubling her and that was most likely that she saw Conan and Haibara. If all she needed was appearance, then why was it only troubling her? That's my point, she (just like Ran and Eisuke) needs more than just appearance to see through him. Appearance was listed as physical evidence for just that, and the first sentence is to explain simply that Vermouth would need reason to believe the idea (it does not brush upon anything she has yet), the follow up concerning Jodie is to establish what her physical evidence is. User:113.192.1.99 04:03, 24 May 2011
See revision suggestion. Chekhov MacGuffin talk 03:27, 25 May 2011 (UTC)
Your problem with [ref]Chapter 423, Agasa mentioned learning about the Organization through Prof. Miyano's old house and friend as well as learning of Haibara's parents...[/ref]
Seriously, when I give you source, take the time to read it before you say it's wrong. You yourself actually talked about my source and couldn't even tell this was a gramatical problem. It's supposed to say that Agasa mentioned he tracked down the Miyano's home and they (he, Conan, and Ai) were going to investigate the Miyanos, the Organization, and Ai's parents (we're acting off the assumption that all people who were listening to bugs weren't aware Ai's parents are the Miyanos). Just sub "learning" with "attempting to learn" and the problem you were too lazy to look into yourself is gone. User talk:113.192.1.99 06:20, 21 May 2011
So you are saying you made a grammatical error that completely changes the meaning of the sentence and it's my fault that I could not psychically read your mind through the internet to see what you really meant? Chekhov MacGuffin talk 00:20, 23 May 2011 (UTC)
I supplied a chapter number for that very reason; it's still right there: 423. If you had bothered to look it up, you wouldn't have had to open your mouth. If you didn't know which one it was because you have only volumes to go off of, then simply following the list of chapters on Wikipedia and the contents of my sentence (namely, Miyano's old house) would be enough to help anyone else find the chapter in question. When I give you a chapter, look it up to verify my sentence before you post a problem with it. If you had done that, the point of my sentence would have been made clear as day. User:113.192.1.99 04:03, 24 May 2011
Ultimately, it's your responsibility to write correctly. When a doctor mistakenly writes a prescription for 300 mg of a drug instead of 300 μg and the pharmacist catches it, it's the doctor's error, not the pharmacist's fault for doing the fact checking. Readers are like patients, while the sources are there in case the reader wants to do his own investigation, they are not expected to. It is the writer's job (eg the doctor) to make sure what was written was correct in the first place. Chekhov MacGuffin talk 03:27, 25 May 2011 (UTC)
Finally, don;t accuse me of not giving sources when I give you plenty. Just because you lacked the time to verify them and verify that I expressed myself properly doesn't mean they don't exist. User talk:113.192.1.99 06:20, 21 May 2011
I did go through your "sources". You don't seem to understand what sources are. They are manga based quotes that support your point. I didn't see you citing manga anywhere. That's why I took issue with them.

And as I just said, I supplied several. You were too lazy to verify them. Take issue with yourself first. I've jumped through hoops and explained my points a dozen different ways, even saying them outright with a highlight of some kind, and you refuse to acknowledge any of them, even when I site the manga. If you had gone through my sources, you wouldn't have near as many problems as you do.

Honestly, take it all down. Undo my edits. If my edits offend you so much you're not even going to show them the most basic of courtesies, then get rid of them. In fact, let's just rename the whole thing, "Detective Conan according to Chekhov MacGuffin." That way you don't ever have to cite your sources or pretend sources from people you don't like don't exist ever again and you can have your dictatorship in its full splendor. Good-bye asshole. User:113.192.1.99 04:03, 24 May 2011
I'm not the one calling people assholes and cursing on their user page. I am trying to point out things in need of improvement and errors that need to be fixed, hoping you would try to correct them, source them, or rewrite them. I changed multiple things in the section I originally wrote in response to your comments and provided multiple sources when you challenged statements. You have not extended me the same courtesy of seriously considering anything I have said to be worth changing your part of the section. I didn't edit your paragraph's content except to add citation tags and invisible notes so you could have the opportunity to change, write, and express your ideas in your way, not mine. You decided not to cooperate. Chekhov MacGuffin talk 03:27, 25 May 2011 (UTC)

Rewrite

Here is an attempted rewrite of the second part seeing as prior discussion hasn't resulted in changes. Chekhov MacGuffin talk 04:07, 25 May 2011 (UTC)

Vermouth probably didn't use APTX 4869 to achieve her youthfulness unless she was willing to face near certain death trying it. Before Vermouth discovered Haibara and Conan, the known members of the Black Organization (besides Sherry) only knew about APTX 4869's lethal effects,[8] and it was considered deadly enough that Sherry's superiors employed it as an untraceable murder weapon.[9] However, given that Vermouth has said depressing things over the course of the series,[10] it is possible she took APTX 4869 hoping to die, but she de-aged instead, similar to Haibara's situation[11]. Vermouth could have also gambled on taking APTX 4869 after she recognized the deaged Shiho and Shinichi and then discovered that APTX 4869 was the common connection between them and likely cause of their conditions. However, both the suicide scenario (if it occurred later than one or two years ago) and the gambling scenario fail to explain why no one in the Black Org has questioned why Vermouth has become younger, especially after Gin saw her true face following the Haunted Ship case[12], and then connected that with APTX 4869 use and Sherry's mysterious escape from the handcuffs and locked room.

Vermouth's de-aging/non-aging may be a result of something other than APTX 4869 that has not been mentioned yet.

Non aging section

An IP edit brought to my attention that the speculation about why Vermouth isn't aging should be more clearly marked, so I added a sub-section to explicitly mark it as speculation. If there are any objections to the labeling, free free to revert, but please discuss your reasons here. Chekhov MacGuffin talk 07:14, 18 May 2011 (UTC)

references

  1. ^ Even if Haibara was critical to its research, scientists have never been the type to stop just because they lose something, so APTX 4869 may have finally had a reported successful deaging, following some changes to the formula of course.
  2. ^ Shinichi met her for the first time in New York and, according to the story thus far, didn't meet her again until Desperate Revival.
  3. ^ last page of Chapter 288; Shinichi is Cool Guy, therefore, she already knows Conan's Shinichi, but this is only her second interaction with Conan. And the first was simply the school check.
  4. ^ Chapter 423, Agasa mentioned learning about the Organization through Prof. Miyano's old house and friend as well as learning of Haibara's parents, but didn't actually mention who her parents are. Also, since Vermouth was having no trouble listening to her taps during this conversation, it's possible the FBI's taps weren't on to hear anything said here. Therefore, his evidence may just be her appearance.
  5. ^ Manga Volume 25, File 9, Page 4: "Mistaken Detectives"; One of the hints that Vermouth was Dr. Araide was Araide switching from the basketball club to the drama club.
  6. ^ Jodie's reference picture of Dr. Araide shows people in the school play costumes in the background, and there is also a picture of Shinichi in costume as well.
  7. ^ In Jodie's intro case, she calls Conan "Cool Guy" meaning she saw the pictures prior to her intro, and most likely prior to joining Teitan high because she became a teacher after she tracked Araide there.
  8. ^ Sherry did not report the results that several of her mice shrank to the greater organization because they have not been able to figure out how Shiho managed to escape the locked room. If Shiho had reported her data, the Organization would have known that shrinking was a possible side effect of APTX 4869 and would have figured out how she escaped and begun looking for a child. Furthermore, if Shiho had reported to the Organization that APTX 4869 had the possibility of leaving the victim alive, the Boss and/or Shiho's superiors would not have permitted the drug in situations where the victim, if surviving, could escape as in Shinichi's case.
  9. ^ Gin described APTX 4869 as a poison before using it on Shinichi, "We'll use this, the new poison the Organization developed. You can't find any signs of poison on the body with this stuff..." (V1-1 pg 37) Haibara also mentions that it was used on a number of other people, "Of all the people who took the drug, only your death hadn't been confirmed yet." (V18-9 pg 6 The Org took great pains to ensure the people APTX4869 was used on were dead, evidenced when they sent Shiho out to investigate Shinichi's case twice to confirm his death. (V18-9 pg 6) Additionally, Gin gave the OK for it to be employed in a time sensitive assassination where failure would be unacceptable: "Anyway, our superior has ordered us to kill him before he rats us out. Don't screw up, Pisco! If there is any complication, you can use the 'experimental drug' [APTX 4869]" (V24-7 pg 17) If the boss, who has been stated to be cautious to a fault, knew about the risk that someone might survive APTX 4869, he would not let his subordinates use the drug without letting them know there was a chance it would leave people alive because, if someone escaped, they could talk to the police or someone else and leak the secret of the Black Organization's existence. If Gin knew it failed to work some of the time, he would have never left Shinichi alone while it acted, and would have also gone looking for him after his body disappeared if that was the case. Even Shiho Miyano who was aware APTX 4869 could rarely cause de-aging expected it to kill her. "I thought that since I was going to get killed anyways, I would take the APTX 4869 which I secretly held. To my luck, the drug that I took thinking it would kill me shrunk by body..." (V18-9 pg 8) Finally, Shiho makes it clear the Organization is not simply trying APTX 4869 out on victims, they are actively using it to kill. "If I reported your condition to the Organization, it's very likely you would have been terminated before I could do something useful." (V18-9 pg 7) Even though Shinichi was an "interesting specimen" (V18-9 pg 7), if the Org was field testing, they would try to capture Shinichi alive for study. Shiho was still project manager when use on humans began and when Shinichi was poisoned, so she would know the Organization's protocol should someone fail to die.
  10. ^ "No angel has smiled upon me", "My life represents a series of misfortunes" (V35-1 pg 2)
  11. ^ "I thought that since I was going to get killed anyways, I would take the APTX 4869 which I secretly held. To my luck, the drug that I took thinking it would kill me shrunk by body..." (V18-9 pg 8)
  12. ^ Akai's shotgun fire struck Vermouth's face and wounded it which made it apparent she wasn't wearing a mask and thus that was her true face. Vermouth was picked up by Gin in a telephone booth and he would have noticed her facial injury as well.